ECONOMIC VISION 2030

The Vanderbilt Terminal for Gulf Economic Transformation

INDEPENDENT GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE FOR ABU DHABI & BAHRAIN

Abu Dhabi GDP: ~$300B | Bahrain GDP: ~$44B | ADIA AUM: $1T+ | Mumtalakat AUM: ~$18B | ADNOC Production: ~4M bpd | Alba Output: 1.6M+ tonnes | AD Non-Oil GDP: ~52% | AD Credit Rating: AA/Aa2 | BH Credit Rating: B+/B2 | ADGM Entities: 1,800+ | Bahrain Banks: 350+ | Vision Deadline: 2030 | Abu Dhabi GDP: ~$300B | Bahrain GDP: ~$44B | ADIA AUM: $1T+ | Mumtalakat AUM: ~$18B | ADNOC Production: ~4M bpd | Alba Output: 1.6M+ tonnes | AD Non-Oil GDP: ~52% | AD Credit Rating: AA/Aa2 | BH Credit Rating: B+/B2 | ADGM Entities: 1,800+ | Bahrain Banks: 350+ | Vision Deadline: 2030 |

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Gap Alert: Bahrain Fiscal Sustainability

Gap alert analysis for Bahrain's fiscal sustainability — persistent deficits, debt exceeding 120% of GDP, GCC support dependency, and insufficient reform trajectory. Credit rating implications and restructuring scenarios examined. Status: Off Track.

Feb 24, 2026